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Question

Ai Singularity - How close are we to true AI?

Answer

The journey towards achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) may necessitate unforeseen breakthroughs and innovations. A median forecast for AGI realization by 2032 is predicted on Metaculus, a reputable forecasting platform. However, this projection seems overly optimistic to me. An expert survey conducted in 2022 estimated a 50% likelihood of human-level AI being achieved by 2059.