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Artificial Super Intelligence - How far are we from super intelligent AI?
Answer
In 1998, Moravec predicted human-level AI by 2040, and intelligence far beyond human by 2050. Four polls of AI researchers, conducted in 2012 and 2013 by Nick Bostrom and Vincent C. Müller, suggested a confidence of 50% that human-level AI would be developed by 2040–2050.