If HDPE goes up 5¢/lb, raise your prices 4.5% on average to keep your 22% margin.
That's $96.8K a year of margin at risk if your prices stay where they are.
Pick the unit you sell by, then enter the pounds of resin in one unit and your price for it. Units a year is optional; it shows the yearly cost.
U.S. resin prices: +2.5% expected in November
From public BLS, EIA and Census data, refreshed daily. BLS to Sep 2026 · EIA to Oct 27 · Census to Aug 2026.
Resin prices now
Average value per pound of U.S. exports in August 2026, from Census trade data. Contract prices vary by grade, volume and buyer. The BLS index for all thermoplastic resins fell 1.7% in September and is 6.7% above a year ago.
Expected change in the BLS index for all thermoplastic resins.
From Oct propane +23.5% and Brent +9.4% on the month before, and the Sep resin index −1.7%. BLS reports the November index on Dec 15.
October 2026: +2.7% expected, 79% confidence. BLS reports on Nov 13.
- JunJune 2026: expected +2.1%, BLS −4.1% (missed)
- JulJuly 2026: expected +1.8%, BLS −6.1% (missed)
- AugAugust 2026: expected −2.4%, BLS −0.9% (right)
- SepSeptember 2026: expected −0.8%, BLS −1.7% (right)
- OctOctober 2026: expected +2.7% (pending)
- NovNovember 2026: expected +2.5% (pending)
Tested on months it hadn't seen since 2016: direction right in 68% of months (76 of 111), and 83% when confidence was 70% or more (35 of 42). 79% of actual moves landed inside the range. The live record starts with October 2026, scored when BLS reports.
How reliable is the confidence?
- Said 50–60%right 55%40 months
- Said 60–70%right 66%29 months
- Said 70–80%right 79%24 months
- Said 80–90%right 83%12 months
- Said 90–100%right 100%6 months
Out-of-sample months grouped by the confidence shown at the time, against how often the direction was right.
Feedstock prices
Your market
Plastic pipe prices reflect 46% of a resin move after one month (90% range 32 to 59%), 63% after three and 85% after six.
After 3 months, prices in this market have reflected about 63% of a resin move (90% range 46 to 79%). A processor whose prices move later than that gives up the difference in margin.
Plastic pipe prices relative to resin are 41% above their 2015 to 2019 average, the 75th percentile since 2012. High 168 (Jan 2023), low 87 (Sep 2014). If resin rises as the signal says, this spread narrows unless prices follow.
Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics producer price indexes (WPU06621201 and product indexes), data to September 2026, preliminary from Jun. U.S. Energy Information Administration spot prices to Oct 27, 2026. U.S. Census Bureau international trade data, export values per pound, to August 2026. Planning signals from public data, not a price forecast.
Each week your prices trail a resin increase, you pay the difference yourself. In a 30-minute demo, see an increase reach every new quote and order the same day.
Reprice every SKU in one rule
Set +4.5% on your HDPE items once, or push a new price list to a customer group. Every quote after that pulls the new price.
See pricing rulesQuote against today’s resin cost
Upload a supplier’s PDF price sheet and new resin prices load in seconds. You see cost per unit at weighted average resin cost, scrap included.
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